Does anyone in here wager factoring in Sagarin ratings or "points?"
Basically the Sagarin ratings or "lines" are mathematical formulas that determine how many points better Team A is than Team B on a NEUTRAL field. If one team is playing at home then add about 3 (2.87) points to the home team.
The Sagarin ratings were developed by a couple of guys from MIT with input from our very own Triple Threat and Andy C when they were in college many moons ago.
For the most part the Sagarin "point spreads" are pretty close to the Vegas lines.
But there are some huge discrepancies I found in the upcoming Bowl Game lines comparing Sagarin point ratings to Vegas lines.
Arizona - 8 v Nevada. Sagarin has Arizona 14 points better.
UCF- 7 over Ball St. Sagarin has them even.
Boise St - 7.5 over Washington. Sagarin actually has WA -1.
Oregon - 8 over Kansas State. Sagarin has Oregon just 1 point better. Btw, I believe the Over/Under in this game will be 177.
Alabama - 10.5 over Notre Dame. Sagarin has Alabama 1 point better on a neutral field.
Anyone ever gamble comparing these lines and what is your record?