A pair of double-digit priced winners last weekend boosted a sagging ROI and as we head into the 2nd-to-last weekend of the Golden Gate meet, I like prices on a good Saturday card.
Race 4: Interesting longshot chance here in #6 Cimmaron Kid (15/1). Off for 7 months, the 4YO gelding from the Team DeLima operation didn't disgrace himself when 3rd at 44/1 at today's bottom level n3l condition (when ineligible to be claimed) on May 17th. So.....though most will think this one will bounce, note that trainer Clifford DeLima hits at 36% with horses making their 2nd start off a 6-month+ rest (ROI of $4.51). His last win came at today's 8 1/2 furlong distance and his other effort at the trip resulted in a 2nd-place finish. The race can easily chalk out, but if the favorites falter.......
Race 7: #2 Jewel Seeker (6/1), a filly I've bet on in all of her 3 career starts, makes her 3rd start off the bench (a favorite handicapping angle of mine) and she comes off a 7 1/4-length flop in the 75K Golden Poppy Handicap (versus open company here) 4 weeks ago when sent off at 7/2. Jock switch to Alvarado today for the 23% Keith Nations barn and she should get ample pace to run at in her first career start versus Cal-Breds in this 100 grander.
Race 8: #1 Fist Pump (8/1) comes off a 51-break for the red-hot Rene Amescua barn and returns to his favorite track. 3rd when last seen versus open 32's down south in mid-April, the Awesome Spirit gelding has been working strongly for his return. He teams up here with Aaron Gryder and the barn-rider combo has struck at 24% here (ROI of $2.77). Good to see that the connections protect him in this starter-40.
Heading into Saturday's action, here are the meet-to-date stats for the spot plays:
Races Played: 82
Races Won: 9
Win %: 11%
ITM %: 41% (82/9-10-15)
Money Bet: $164
Money Won: $139.40
ROI (for every $2 win wager): $1.70
Wishing everyone the best of luck.