Claimboxx wrote:As someone who watches every race and does trip Notes, I can tell you on Thursday, Friday and most of Saturday, horses racing on the inside won EVERY main track race and the rail bias was obvious and huge. And making it more blatant, horses that either rallied along the rail or were following the winner, ran second or third. And seemingly, the further out you were, the more you died on your rally.
Perhaps it is the banking, but I think the inside was simply faster. A great example was Saturday's first race. Congregationalist led inside early, let Surf N Ski through inside of him early on the backstretch to make the lead and prompted the pace outside of him, eventually the field lined up around midstretch and you could visibly see the horses that raced further out were noticeably struggling while Surf N Ski was obviously on the tightest part of the track. Several horses have re-rallied along the rail that were definitely beat in the first week.
People who rely strictly on numbers or stats are victims to what has had happened in the past, not what's happening in the present or will happen in the future. Your eyes tell you what you need to know...Watch, observe and your instincts will generally be right.
I understand that take. But the jockeys also have eyes and their observations and instincts are pretty keen too. Do you think there's a possibility their decision making is effected by what they've seen before? If you're on the best could that horse conceivably be good enough to maneuver him to any part of the track and still win?