Crazykid wrote:itsmyluckyday reminds me of monarchos, monarchos was the 2to5 favorite in the wood memorial gets beat 3 lengths by congaree and then goes off at 10to1 in the kentucky derby. had he won the wood memorial he would have been 7to5 in the kentucky derby.
itsmyluckyday goes off at 8to5 in the florida derby he gets beat 2 and 1/2 lengths by orb. had he won the florida deby he would be 2to1 in the kentucky derby but instead he will be 10to1+
I think this analogy is bad. Monarchos WAS favorite over Congaree,but Aqueduct that day was playing strongly to speed types,ruining Monarchos's chances.He then got the fastest pace set-up in Derby history and the rest was..........However,the pace was BRUTALLY slow in this year's Florida Derby.There is no way in Hades if Itsmylucky was a good horse he SHOULDVE EVER GOTTEN PASSED IN THE LANE,PERIOD.If the pace were fast,Id give him a mulligan,but it was not.Same goes for Verrazzano.His pace was brutally slow also,and if he were the real deal,he wouldve drawn off by 6 in a stranglehold.Both horses proved that they are not superstars.Itsmylucky,away from the friendly confinds of South Florida,figures to regress the most of the lower priced horses.