Del Mar Online Racing Community
Chat about horses, racing, and the industry.
You - don't bet Arron's picks.
Aaron - don't join LRF's group.
If it's legal what someone is doing, then it's just buyer be informed. Y'all shouldn't try to tell other people how to run their lives.
Happy Easter, all!
Any good handicapper can come close, nobody hits 50, maybe 35 percent winners, I think you made a big mistake in your reading.
Try it and get back to us.
Last edited by Igeteven on Sun Mar 31, 2013 7:25 am, edited 2 times in total.
I don't care if Aaron claims 100% winners just so long as he doesn't try to use the DFF as an advertising platform. To my knowledge he has never done that.
Sarcasm:the ability to insult idiots without them realizing it
Thank yuo for the kind words, very much appreciated!
Sorry if this is a repeat post, tried to post a few minutes ago and it didn't appear on the site.
I've known Aaron a few years, not best pals but acquaintances, and we have some mutual friends. Have heard him discussing an upcoming race more than a few times, he seems very good at spotting a false favorite -- a horse that will go off a low odds and should be bet against. I wouldn't blindly play the picks of any handicapper, but when he feels strongly about a horse in the 4/1 to 20/1 range they should be considered seriously, and they seem to outrun their odds great majority of the time. (He did underrate one of my horses, One Track Mind, but part of OTM's success was being a front running router who caught more than his share of paceless fields). Overall, in all my years around the track, have known very few people I believe could show a profit from wagering, and Aaron is one of them.
Another thing about public/radio handicappers -- their picks seem to get overbet. When I was following the radio show, very often he would pick a horse at say 6/1 ML, it would open at the track at 3/1 first flash and go off at 4/1 final odds. If not picked on radio, it probably would have been 5 /1 or 6/1. Makes it very tough for any public handicapper, not just Aaron, to show a positive ROI. I can't vouch for the figures he posted, but have observed him in action enough to know that he knows what he is doing and his picks have a great deal of merit.
Avatar - Lords Table winning the Bull Rastus Handicap at Los Al, 9/9/05, Russel Hadley up.
Who is online
Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 19 guests