What did you Learn from last weekend?

[Vince P]

Whenever I watch replays of the BC or any other race for that matter, I always review what numbers, form, works, condition, etc, the winner had. Once in a blue moon, I actually learn something.

Then I ask myself:

If that race was run again would I have played that horse at those odds? The important criteria being "those odds."

Over the weekend there were several races I just watched replays of and checked numbers, second guessed myself, etc, etc.

Some winners I would never have played, specifically Beholder, who is a very, very nice filly but I thought I saw bounce written all over her, especially with all the speed in that race. But the main thing was, "not at 3-1."

On the other hand, there was Tapizar. Not the most consistent horse in the world. He had run 4 times at Santa Anita; two monster wins while dueling or on the lead. And two horrible races, with the same running style.

But it was pretty obvious: this Tapit colt has a ton of talent. Will he throw in another clunker or will he run one of his good ones on a track he sometimes likes?

Like the dummy I am, I saw the glass only 47% full.

In hindsight, at 15-1, and hoping he runs "one of his good ones" on a speed favoring track he likes sometimes, he was a definite play I'd make if the race was run again. The deciding factor should have been his 15-1 and not the other speed in the race.

For the record, Vince figuratively lost his lovingass on Jonathan Scott but I did learn a lesson.

What lessons did you learn and what horses do you think you should have played if you were a tad smarter?

Would love to learn some more in here.

Vince P

[Hollywoodmike]

Still on the Dullahan bandwagon???? HOY considerations?????

[Triple Threat]

Way to cast stones at a glass house. Remember the Pacific Classic when you said Dullahan had zero chance?

http://dmtc.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=4 ... 8b5e11a288

And what about your super horse Obviously? How did he do?????????? Paid the same as Dullahan did to win on Saturday, I guess.

Stick to protecting your form from the hoodlums at Inglewatts

[AlphaGaijin]

Way to cast stones at a glass house. Remember the Pacific Classic when you said Dullahan had zero chance?

http://dmtc.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=4 ... 8b5e11a288

And what about your super horse Obviously? How did he do?????????? Paid the same as Dullahan did to win on Saturday, I guess.

Stick to protecting your form from the hoodlums at Inglewatts

Sharp post.

[Hollywoodmike]

Obviously ran a super race and only a track record performance beat him. Dullahan couldn't be found with a search warrant.
viewtopic.php?f=4&t=15406&hilit=+dullahan&start=0

[Hollywoodmike]

One trick pony Dullahan will get his head snapped by Animal Kingdom in the Dubai World Cup next year.

[Stefan]

Still on the Dullahan bandwagon???? HOY considerations?????

Aaaand, the knives are out!!!!

I learned that Lester is right...12-1 shots on BC day(s) are the way to go...

[White Hat]

I learned never to "donate" money to Howling Wolf

[Kermit]

I learned that with full fields of good horses, you can't expect to tell 3 horses what order to run in, let alone 4. BC's will be win / place bets for me frOm now on. I will hit the killer P4 at some small track that has more bad horses than good ones.

[Hollywoodmike]

I learned that with full fields of good horses, you can't expect to tell 3 horses what order to run in, let alone 4. BC's will be win / place bets for me frOm now on. I will hit the killer P4 at some small track that has more bad horses than good ones.

A 30-1 in the BC is so much better than a 30-1 in an allowance or claiming race. It's really tough to hit a rolling exotic bet
like a pick 3 or 4. Costs too much to cover all the horses you need in those wagers.